Author Archives: Irish Election Projections

Seat totals Sinn Féin 60Fine Gael 38Fianna Fáil 35Independents 11Social Democrats 6PBP/Solidarity 5Labour 2Green Party 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since March Sinn Féin ncFine Gael +1Fianna Fáil -1Independents ncSocial Democrats +1PBP/Solidarity +1Labour -1Green Party ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map There were three polls in April, same as last month – one the Ireland Thinks withoutContinue reading “April 2023 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 60Fine Gael 37Fianna Fáil 36Independents 11Social Democrats 5PBP/Solidarity 5Labour 3Green Party 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since February Sinn Féin -1Fine Gael ncFianna Fáil ncIndependents ncSocial Democrats ncPBP/Solidarity +1Labour ncGreen Party ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map There were three polls in March – one the Ireland Thinks poll I discussed last month,Continue reading “March 2023 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 61Fine Gael 37Fianna Fáil 36Independents 11Social Democrats 5PBP/Solidarity 4Labour 3Green Party 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since January Sinn Féin -1Fine Gael ncFianna Fáil +1Independents -1Social Democrats ncPBP/Solidarity ncLabour ncGreen Party ncAontú +1R2C nc Seat Map First off, sincere apologies for how late this is, but circumstances conspired against me this month.Continue reading “February 2023 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 62Fine Gael 37Fianna Fáil 35Independents 12Social Democrats 5PBP/Solidarity 4Labour 3Green Party 2Aontú 0R2C 0 Changes since November Sinn Féin -2Fine Gael ncFianna Fáil ncIndependents +1Social Democrats +1PBP/Solidarity -1Labour -1Green Party +2Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Five polls between December and January, but only three with breakdowns – two B&A and oneContinue reading “January 2023 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 64Fine Gael 37Fianna Fáil 35Independents 11PBP/Solidarity 5Social Democrats 4Labour 4Green Party 0Aontú 0R2C 0 Changes since October Sinn Féin ncFine Gael +1Fianna Fáil ncIndependents ncPBP/Solidarity ncSocial Democrats ncLabour +1Green Party -2Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Three polls this month as normal service resumes. While Ireland Thinks put out another poll, asContinue reading “November 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 64Fine Gael 36Fianna Fáil 35Independents 11PBP/Solidarity 5Social Democrats 4Labour 3Green Party 2Aontú 0R2C 0 Changes since September Sinn Féin -1Fine Gael +1Fianna Fáil -4Independents ncPBP/Solidarity +2Social Democrats +1Labour ncGreen Party +1Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Four polls in October, from Ireland Thinks, IPSOS/MRBI, B&A and RedC. The first doesn’t have detailedContinue reading “October 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 65Fianna Fáil 39Fine Gael 35Independents 11Social Democrats 3PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 3Green Party 1Aontú 0R2C 0 Changes since July Sinn Féin +1Fianna Fáil ncFine Gael -2Independents +1Social Democrats ncPBP/Solidarity ncLabour ncGreen Party ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Four polls since Irish politics took its traditional break at the start of August – twoContinue reading “September 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 64Fianna Fáil 39Fine Gael 37Independents 10Social Democrats 3PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 3Green Party 1Aontú 0R2C 0 Changes since June Sinn Féin +1Fianna Fáil ncFine Gael ncIndependents ncSocial Democrats -1PBP/Solidarity ncLabour +1Green Party ncAontú -1R2C nc Seat Map Hi everyone! This will be a relatively short update as (a) I am still recovering fromContinue reading “July 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 63Fianna Fáil 39Fine Gael 37Independents 10Social Democrats 4PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 2Green Party 1Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since May Sinn Féin ncFianna Fáil +1Fine Gael -2Independents +2Social Democrats ncPBP/Solidarity ncLabour -1Green Party ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Three polls this month, but Ireland Thinks still don’t publish breakdowns, so our constituency figures relyContinue reading “June 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 63Fine Gael 39Fianna Fáil 38Independents 8Social Democrats 4PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 3Green Party 1Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since April Sinn Féin ncFine Gael ncFianna Fáil ncIndependents ncSocial Democrats ncPBP/Solidarity ncLabour ncGreen Party ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map So, this is a new one. For the first time since I started this project, theContinue reading “May 2022 Projections Update”