Author Archives: Irish Election Projections

Seat totals Sinn Féin 63Fine Gael 39Fianna Fáil 38Independents 8Social Democrats 4PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 3Green Party 1Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since March Sinn Féin -1Fine Gael +4Fianna Fáil +2Independents -2Social Democrats ncPBP/Solidarity -1Labour +1Green Party -3Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Four polls in April, as IPSOS join B&A, Red C and Ireland Thinks. For the secondContinue reading “April 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 64Fianna Fáil 36Fine Gael 35Independents 10Green Party 4Social Democrats 4PBP/Solidarity 4Labour 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since February Sinn Féin +1Fianna Fáil -2Fine Gael -2Independents +2Green Party -1Social Democrats +1PBP/Solidarity +1Labour ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Three polls this month, as usual B&A and RedC – and an Ireland Thinks with noContinue reading “March 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 63Fianna Fáil 38Fine Gael 37Independents 8Green Party 5Social Democrats 3PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since January Sinn Féin ncFianna Fáil +4Fine Gael -3Independents ncGreen Party +2Social Democrats -2PBP/Solidarity ncLabour -1Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Seems we are in a pattern with the polls coming out monthly, with Ireland Thinks (withContinue reading “February 2022 Projections Update”

In my most recent poll analysis I picked up on some comments from the Taoiseach regarding Sinn Féin’s understanding of the working class, and how the polling among that cohort (or the closest polling analogue for that cohort) doesn’t reflect his views on the matter. Sinn Féin are comfortably ahead of Fianna Fáil, even thoughContinue reading “Party Polling by Social Class”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 63Fine Gael 40Fianna Fáil 34Independents 8Social Democrats 5Green Party 3PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 3Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since December Sinn Féin ncFine Gael ncFianna Fáil -1Independents ncSocial Democrats ncGreen Party ncPBP/Solidarity ncLabour +1Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Three polls again this month, with Ireland Thinks joining Red C and B&A, but again notContinue reading “January 2022 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 63Fine Gael 40Fianna Fáil 35Independents 8Social Democrats 5Green Party 3PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since November Sinn Féin +2Fine Gael -2Fianna Fáil +1Independents ncSocial Democrats ncGreen Party -1PBP/Solidarity ncLabour ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Three polls this month, one from each of B&A and IPSOS/MRBI with regional breakdowns, and oneContinue reading “December 2021 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 61Fine Gael 42Fianna Fáil 34Independents 8Social Democrats 5Green Party 4PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since October Sinn Féin +1Fine Gael -1Fianna Fáil +3Independents -1Social Democrats ncGreen Party +1PBP/Solidarity -1Labour -2Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map Three polls in November, one from each of B&A and Red C with regional breakdowns, andContinue reading “November 2021 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 60Fine Gael 43Fianna Fáil 31Independents 9Social Democrats 5PBP/Solidarity 4Labour 4Green Party 3Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since September Sinn Féin +1Fine Gael -6Fianna Fáil +2Independents -2Social Democrats +2PBP/Solidarity +1Labour +1Green Party +1Aontú ncR2C nc Seat Map We’ve had a good few polls in October, and following on from September, we’re seeing aContinue reading “October 2021 Projections Update”

Seat totals Sinn Féin 59Fine Gael 49Fianna Fáil 29Independents 11Social Democrats 3PBP/Solidarity 3Labour 3Green Party 2Aontú 1R2C 0 Changes since July Sinn Féin +3Fine Gael -3Fianna Fáil -2Independents ncSocial Democrats -2PBP/Solidarity +1Labour +3Green Party ncAontú ncR2C nc Seat Map As politics returns from its summer holidays, we got two polls last weekend – one fromContinue reading “September 2021 Projections Update”

I’ve always found it a bit strange that politics in Ireland just stops happening over the summer. Or at least, the formal mechanism of the legislature go into hibernation. Consequently, there isn’t a lot happening on the polling front. This is a shame, not only for nerds like me, but because we have needed pollingContinue reading “Party Polling by Age Demographics”