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Latest Posts and Poll Analysis
Dublin Central and Galway West By-Election Poll Analysis
We are less than a week out from the by-elections in Dublin Central and Galway West, and we have polls for both courtesy of IPSOS/B&A, TG4 and the Irish Times. You can see summaries here on RTÉ for Dublin Central and Galway West respectively, as unfortunately the Irish Times results are paywalled. I’m going to…
April 2026 Projections Update
December 2025 Projection Sinn Féin 43Fianna Fáil 42Fine Gael 39Independents 12Social Democrats 15Labour 10Independent Ireland 6PBP/Solidarity 3Aontú 3100% Redress 1Green Party 0 Current Projection (changes from Dec ’25) Sinn Féin 44 (+1) Fianna Fáil 42 (nc)Fine Gael 41 (+2)Independents 12 (nc)Social Democrats 13 (-2)Labour 10 (nc)Independent Ireland 5 (-1)PBP/Solidarity 3 (nc)Aontú 3 (nc)100% Redress 1…
End of 2025 Projections Update
2024 Result Fianna Fáil 48Sinn Féin 39Fine Gael 38Independents 16Social Democrats 11Labour 11Independent Ireland 4PBP/Solidarity 3Aontú 2Green Party 1100% Redress 1 Current Projection Fianna Fáil 42 (-6)Sinn Féin 43 (+4) Fine Gael 39 (+1)Independents 12 (-4)Social Democrats 15 (+4)Labour 10 (-1)Independent Ireland 6 (+2)PBP/Solidarity 3 (nc)Aontú 3 (+1)Green Party 0 (-1)100% Redress 1 (nc) Seat…
Irish Election Projections 