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Latest Posts and Poll Analysis
April 2026 Projections Update
December 2025 Projection Sinn Féin 43Fianna Fáil 42Fine Gael 39Independents 12Social Democrats 15Labour 10Independent Ireland 6PBP/Solidarity 3Aontú 3100% Redress 1Green Party 0 Current Projection (changes from Dec ’25) Sinn Féin 44 (+1) Fianna Fáil 42 (nc)Fine Gael 41 (+2)Independents 12 (nc)Social Democrats 13 (-2)Labour 10 (nc)Independent Ireland 5 (-1)PBP/Solidarity 3 (nc)Aontú 3 (nc)100% Redress 1…
End of 2025 Projections Update
2024 Result Fianna Fáil 48Sinn Féin 39Fine Gael 38Independents 16Social Democrats 11Labour 11Independent Ireland 4PBP/Solidarity 3Aontú 2Green Party 1100% Redress 1 Current Projection Fianna Fáil 42 (-6)Sinn Féin 43 (+4) Fine Gael 39 (+1)Independents 12 (-4)Social Democrats 15 (+4)Labour 10 (-1)Independent Ireland 6 (+2)PBP/Solidarity 3 (nc)Aontú 3 (+1)Green Party 0 (-1)100% Redress 1 (nc) Seat…
2025 Presidential Election
Hello. It’s been a while. Barring one set of projections – that I have as yet been unable to find the time to do a full post for – I know things have been quiet here. This is a combination of background work that has taken longer than anticipated, and also been influenced by events…
Irish Election Projections 