Mapping the Sinn Féin Surge

One of the most obviously significant outputs of the projection model is the increase in seats for Sinn Féin. The most recent full modelling shows an increase in FPV of 4.8%, but a gain of 25 seats. This gap is due mostly to “missed” seats in the 2020 General Election, where SF ran less candidatesContinue reading “Mapping the Sinn Féin Surge”

Analysis of Red C Poll for 31st Jan 2021

Published 31st January 2021 So two days after site launch, and we have our first national poll, from Red C. The headline figures aren’t particularly interesting on first glance, although positive for Independents and the Social Democrats, who have now hit 5% in three of the last four national polls. A fuss has been madeContinue reading “Analysis of Red C Poll for 31st Jan 2021”