Current TDs: 1 FG, 1 FF, 1 IND
Projection: 1 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF
FF’s Niall Collins and FG’s Patrick O’Donovan look comfortable, but IND Richard O’Donoghue is in trouble. SF nearly took the third seat here in 2020 with a candidate who had lost his council seat the previous year, and the Munster trends are very, very favourable to SF, so the third seat looks theirs to lose.
The only potential source of interest here is if FF run two rather than one – doing so would slide Collins backwards into a fight with a second FG candidate and O’Donoghue, but he would still have a decent chance at emerging from this successfully.