Cork East


Province: Munster

Seats: 4

Current TDs: 1 SF, 1 FG, 1 FF, 1 LAB

Projection: 2 SF, 1 FG, 1 FF


SF +1


LAB -1


January 2021

SF’s numbers in Munster are, in general, through the roof, and if that holds they’ll comfortably have two seats in Cork East. FG’s seat looks rock-solid regardless of their strategy, and FF are comfortable as long as they only run one candidate.

Labour’s Sean Sherlock is currently projected to lose a seat he’s held through some rough years for his party, but I should emphasise that this is very close between himself and FF – if FF run two candidates here, which they really shouldn’t, the model will likely flip and favour Sherlock for the final seat over either FF candidate.

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